Ubaldo Jimenez has gained some serious steam in the fantasy world but is he a safe fantasy option or will he blow up your ratios?
Analysis: The bad news is that Ubaldo got touched up for six earned runs Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers. The good news is that up until last night he started four consecutive games and did not allow more than two earned runs in those four starts. So what is going on here?
Ubaldo’s ERA is north of six, there is no getting away from that. On a positive note he is striking out over nine batters per nine innings pitched. His xFIP is south of 4.00 which does come as a surprise. But we must consider that Ubaldo’s fastball velocity is taking a hit for the fourth straight year. Ubaldo’s HR/FB rate will fall(second worst in baseball and well above his career average) and his strand rate should tick up a bit which means a lower ERA. However, there doesn’t seem to be enough of a reward with Ubaldo as opposed to the risk- nine starts, three of which he has allowed six plus earned runs.