Buying Low- Alex Rios

Alex Rios has been one of the most disappointing fantasy outfielders this year but don’t bet against him in the second half of the season.

Analysis: Alex Rios’ awful season comes down to one thing completely out of his control and that thing is BABIP. Rios’ .216 BABIP is 92 points below his career average. If Alex’s BABIP was in line with his career average he would be hitting over .280 but all he can do is continue to put the ball in play and with some luck it will fall at a more consistent rate. Rios’ walk rate is in line with his career mark and his strikeout rate is actually at a career low of 10.5%. Rios is owned in just sixty percent of fantasy leagues nationwide and it’s a huge mistake to let a guy of his talent go. Against the Tigers Sunday Rios recorded his first multi hit game in over two weeks while knocking in one run and scoring another. Very few outfielders possess the power-speed combination that Rios has and if he’s available in your fantasy league snatch the slugger up.

Projection: Expect a .270 batting average, seven bombs and ten swipes in Rios’ remaining games.

Alex Rios Is Still Viable

Despite hitting just .199 this year and being benched often in the last week, Alex Rios is still a viable option for all fantasy squads.

Analysis: Yes, 2010 was a career year for Rios and to expect a repeat of his 2010 campaign this year was not expected. However, his career average over 162 games is a .277 BA with 17 home runs and 24 steals. He may only have four bombs and four swipes thus far this year but it does not warrant dropping the guy from your fantasy squad. Fantasy baseball is as much about patience as anything else. Rios is getting ready to explode and his numbers indicate that. His strikeouts are actually down from last year and his career average, his walk rate is at his career average, it’s just that his BABIP is just .205 while his career BABIP is .310. Rios is being dropped in many fantasy leagues across the country because of a lack of patience and when he explodes in the near future there will be many regrets. Rios may not reach a 20/20 season this year because it’s already June and he’s been unlucky but he’s a five category stud who should not be dropped from any fantasy squad.

Projection: Expect 12 homers, 14 stolen bases and a .275 batting average from Rios in his remaining ninety plus games.