Yovani Gallardo has been one of the most heavily dropped fantasy starters over the past week.
Analysis: It isn’t without reason that Gallardo’s stock is falling. He’s allowed four or more earned runs over his last three starts and his ERA thus far sits at 5.25. His poor performances have left him available in 10-30% of leagues nationwide. But there are some positives to take away from this.
Gallardo’s strand rate is 8% above his career average this year. His BABIP against is .023 points above his career average and his HR/FB rate is 5% above his career average. So… what can we take away? Well, Gallardo’s xFIP is a solid 3.71. He may not be dominant but he is serviceable and has been a bit unlucky this year. His numbers will improve and he should not be dropped from leagues. Yes, his velocity is down a bit and with it the strikeouts. He isn’t an ace right now but he will produce going forward. His ERA minus FIP is 1.04 which is 11th in baseball this year— translation- Gallardo has been the 11th least lucky pitcher in baseball in 2013.