Author: TJ Streett

Selling High- Lind

Adam Lind is hitting .349 this season with 3 home runs and 18 RBI in 34 games played.

Analysis: Lind is now thirty years old and is a career .271 hitter. His BABIP is .400 this year which is 100 points above his career average. His BABIP is 5th highest in baseball among players with at least 100 plate appearances. Drew Stubbs is first on that list. Stubbs is a career .243 hitter who is magically hitting .317 this season.

There are a few positives to take away.  Lind’s strikeouts are down to a 16% clip… his lowest since his 35 home run campaign in 2009. Lind is also drawing walks at a career high clip and he is also swinging at the fewest amount of pitches outside the strike zone since his 2009 breakout season. Although Lind is slugging .566, the 3 home runs in 34 games played isn’t the power many fantasy owners are expecting. His power is a bit overrated- he hit 23 bombs last year in 143 games and had 11 homers in 93 games in 2012. For a DH/1B he is a fine addition off the wire… just don’t expect 25 home runs by the end of the year or a .300 plus batting average either.

Adam Lind is available in 20-50% of fantasy leagues.

Under The Radar- Sean Rodriguez

Sean Rodriguez has been one of the most productive utility players in baseball this year. Rodriguez has 6 home runs and 20 RBI in 36 games played this year.

Analysis: Sean Rodriguez has position eligibility at first base, second base and in the outfield. He is currently slugging .523 which would be 19th in baseball if he had enough at bats to qualify. Over the last two weeks of the season he ranks as the 14th best fantasy second baseman, 26th best first baseman and the 65th best outfielder. The 6 home runs in 36 games played is a great mark but the pace will slow down some due to an inflated HR/FB rate.

Another asset that Rodriguez can provide is stolen bases. Although he only has 1 stolen base this year he averages about 10 stolen bases per 162 games played. Yes, Rodriguez is hitting just .227 this year but his BABIP this season is about thirty points below his career average. He’s capable of hitting over .250 going forward while providing positional versatility in addition to some power numbers. Sean Rodriguez is available in 95-99% of fantasy leagues… keep an eye on him.

Stock Rising- De La Rosa

Jorge De La Rosa has not allowed more than three earned runs in a start in eight consecutive starts.

Analysis: De La Rosa is the 17th best fantasy starter over the last month of the season. He currently has a 3.66 ERA, 3.80 xFIP, 1.17 WHIP and a 7.32 K/9 rate. His WHIP ranks 27th in baseball, his 6 wins is 10th best and his ERA is 58th thus far this year. During the month of May he posted a 1.93 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 28.0 innings of work. His strikeout rate is up from his 2012-13 marks and his velocity is also up.

If De La Rosa played in New York we would not be able to avoid the hype but it is not the case here. He plays in Colorado and constantly gets lost in the shuffle. His next scheduled start is against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday. He is available in 30-75% of fantasy leagues. The only red flag thus far is his .239 BABIP against- it is about sixty points below his career average. Expect low to mid tier numbers going forward.

Selling High- Taveras

Oscar Taveras is the “it guy” in fantasy baseball right now. He homered in his first major league game on Saturday afternoon against the Giants. Many are saying he is a must start in mixed leagues but there is reason to sell high and maximize your return.

Analysis: Taveras will develop into a solid if not great player but there are a few red flags. He has always been a low walk rate guy which will be a concern when pitchers pitch around him and/or give him a heavy dose of the off speed stuff. Secondly, we have to consider that he is still just twenty-one years old. For every Mike Trout and Ryan Braun who had success early on- there are thousands more like Alex Gordon and Delmon Young. Gordon and Young had the upside and needed time to put it together and this may be the case with Taveras. And for every Alex Gordon and Delmon Young there are even more like Travis Snider, Brandon Wood and Andy Marte. This is just a friendly reminder from the guy that told you to pass on the Profar hype last year and sell him high.

Will Oscar Taveras have a great season in the bigs or will he be just another mediocre fantasy outfielder this year? Who knows, but selling high doesn’t sound that bad when guys like Revere, Markakis, Zobrist and Bourn are available on the wire.

Rosario Still Available

Wilin Rosario has played seven games since his return from the disabled list.

Analysis: Thus far this season Rosario has 4 home runs in 31 games played. That isn’t bad but the .234 batting average is a concern. Rosario’s BABIP is about sixty points below his career average so the batting average should tick up a bit sooner than later. He’s a career .273 hitter(.285 at home) so there isn’t much to worry about on that front. Rosario has never had much of a walk rate so we can dismiss the lack of walks but I do like that he has cut down on his strikeouts this year.

We also have to keep in mind that Rosario has 49 home runs over the last two years which is the most for a catcher from 2012-2013. He’s also in the top five among catchers in runs batted in during that two year span. It is obvious that Rosario just came off the disabled list and hasn’t played to his potential this year but he remains a must own.

Wilin Rosario is available in 10-25% of fantasy leagues.