Tag: Carlos Beltran

Carlos Beltran has been on fire in St. Louis this year but expect him to cool off sooner or later.

Analysis: We can start with Carlos Beltran’s health issues. He’s only played in over 90 games in a season just once(2011) in the last three years. Secondly, let’s take a look at his stolen base totals. Beltran has stolen a total of seven bases in 206 games over the past two years but he already has three in just sixteen games this year. All signs point to selling high here, his thirty-four year old legs just are not what they used to be and when he reaches the 300 career stolen base mark…. expect him to stop running. Beltran is also striking out at over a 20% clip this year, something he has never done in his career. Beltran’s HR/FB rate is nearly at 30% in 2012, his career average sits at 15%. So those five home runs he has thus far are indeed inflated just a bit.

The time to sell the aging outfielder is now. The .279 batting average, 5 home runs and 3 stolen bases are great but as the season wears on Beltran he will not be able to sustain his current level of play/luck.

Carlos Beltran now has eight homers on the season after mashing three Thursday night against the Rockies. His play thus far this year has been surprisingly solid but we know what lies ahead for the switch hitter…injuries.

Analysis: Beltran hasn’t reached 360 plate appearances in each of his last two years and his speed numbers are in rapid decline. Beltran has just three steals in his last 100 games and to further add insult to injury, he hasn’t even attempted one stolen base this year. It is obvious he in no longer a five category fantasy stud but his recent power surge is questionable as well. Beltran’s isolated power has decreased in each of his last four years and to see his ISO in the .230-.250 range this year is shocking considering his career ISO is just .212. As the season moves forward and Beltran’s legs just cannot take the beating day after day and as his fielding becomes even more of a liability we know he has at least two trips to the disabled list down the road. If he does stay healthy and his power dries up you’re left with an outfielder without a great asset and one you could have sold in mid May for a younger fantasy stud in a slump.

Advice: Beltran has a few trips to the disabled list in him and it serves all Beltran owners well to see what they can get for him right now.