ADP Watch- WRs Part 4

Sammy Watkins lit college football up his freshman year but can he set the NFL ablaze in his rookie season?

Analysis: It appears that Watkins has put considerable weight on his frame since his freshman season at Clemson. He is still fast but the weight does make a difference… he is not the same burner he was a few years ago. Regardless, it is always hard to predict rookie wide outs but Watkins is especially difficult. EJ Manuel is not a consistent quarterback and Watkins is in a tough defensive division.

Currently, Watkins is the 30th to 33rd wide out being taken in the 78-81 pick range. You can get Marques Colston, Mike Wallace or Kendall Wright at this point in the draft or later. Colston has Brees and a pass happy offense. Wallace put up 930 yards last year on 142 targets without an offensive line. Kendall Wright caught 94 balls on 140 targets for over 1,000 yards in 2013. Watkins may turn out to be a fine player but his ceiling this year is what those other three wide outs are expected to produce.

Week 13 WR Recap

Brian Hartline and Kendall Wright continue to put up solid fantasy numbers in week thirteen.

Analysis: Brian Hartline caught 9 balls on 15 targets for 127 yards and a score Sunday afternoon against the Jets. Hartline now has four consecutive 55-plus receiving yard games. He also has 24 receptions in that four game span. Hartline is available in 40-70% of fantasy leagues.

Kendall Wright had himself another fine ball game Sunday against the Colts. Wright put up 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 11 targets. Wright now has four consecutive 75-plus receiving yard games and has 28 receptions in that four game span. He’s on pace to put up more than 1,100 yards but he has only found the end zone twice this year. Wright has top 25 fantasy wide out numbers yet he still isn’t getting much love. He’s available in 10-60% of fantasy leagues.

Jacoby Jones is the long shot add this week. Jones has a touchdown, 8 receptions, 13 targets and 156 receiving yards in his last two games. He’s a high risk/high reward fantasy option but he may be of some use with just four weeks remaining in the season. Jones is available in 85-95% of fantasy leagues.

Big Days For Wright And Royal

It’s obvious that DeAndre Hopkins will be the “it” guy on the wire this week, but let’s take a look at some of the lesser known wide outs that had big days.

Analysis: Kendall Wright caught 7 balls on 11 targets for 54 yards and a score Sunday afternoon against the Texans. Jake Locker threw the ball 30 times, so the 11 targets is impressive. Wright caught 64 balls last year and had 4 touchdowns, he should be able to surpass that this year and become fantasy relevant. Keep in mind that Wright’s fantasy value is directly related to Jake Locker’s pass volume. At this point Wright makes a solid depth add with upside. The former first round pick is available in 50-75% of fantasy leagues.

Eddie Royal already has 5 touchdowns this year. On Sunday afternoon against the Eagles he recorded 7 receptions on 8 targets for 90 yards and 3 touchdowns. Philip Rivers now has 76 passing attempts through 2 games, Royal is up to 14 targets in that span. Although his fantasy stock is skyrocketing, he’s more of a sell high option at this point. Antonio Gates and Malcom Floyd are the real fantasy threats on this team when healthy. Royal is available in 80-90% of fantasy leagues.

Buying Low- Kendall Wright

Kendall Wright was one of the most heavily targeted wide outs Sunday which led to yet another solid game from the rookie.

Analysis: Kendall Wright was targeted 11 times for 9 receptions and 66 yards Sunday against the Vikings. Wright now has a total of 20 receptions over his past three games on 30 targets between multiple quarterbacks. He may not be ready to produce consistently in standard leagues but he just may have a place in PPR leagues considering his reception total and his two touchdowns in his last four games.

Kenny Britt is struggling with an ankle injury and he has yet to post a solid game this year. Add that to the fact that the Titan ground game is garbage and you have yourself a rookie wide out getting ready to post some productive numbers. Wright is available in over eighty-five percent of leagues but his stock will be rising in the coming weeks. He leads all rookies in receptions with 27 this year and is justifying his 20th overall draft selection. Keep in mind that he has a week six matchup with the Steelers on Thursday.