Issue: For the careful fantasy player who wants bankable hitting production in HR, RBI, and R without damaging his team BA, where should he look?
Facts: Auction/Draft Prep Tools: Categories Leader Board Last 3 Seasons— Thirty-nine hitters with
60+HR
200+RBI
200+ R
.270+ BA.
Ranked below by BA.
Player |
PA |
|
HR |
|
RBI |
|
R |
|
BA |
Albert Pujols |
2041 |
|
126 |
|
369 |
|
339 |
|
.331 |
Matt Holliday |
1968 |
|
77 |
|
300 |
|
296 |
|
.315 |
Josh Hamilton |
1640 |
|
74 |
|
284 |
|
236 |
|
.315 |
Hanley Ramirez |
1964 |
|
78 |
|
249 |
|
318 |
|
.314 |
Miguel Cabrera |
2017 |
|
109 |
|
356 |
|
292 |
|
.314 |
Joey Votto |
1781 |
|
86 |
|
281 |
|
257 |
|
.314 |
Manny Ramirez |
1405 |
|
65 |
|
226 |
|
202 |
|
.311 |
Kevin Youkilis |
1644 |
|
75 |
|
271 |
|
267 |
|
.308 |
Robinson Cano |
2004 |
|
68 |
|
266 |
|
276 |
|
.304 |
Ryan Braun |
2055 |
|
94 |
|
323 |
|
306 |
|
.303 |
Justin Morneau |
1650 |
|
71 |
|
285 |
|
235 |
|
.300 |
Vladimir Guerrero |
1650 |
|
71 |
|
256 |
|
227 |
|
.300 |
David Wright |
2023 |
|
72 |
|
299 |
|
290 |
|
.297 |
Ryan Zimmerman |
1762 |
|
72 |
|
242 |
|
246 |
|
.294 |
Troy Tulowitzki |
1578 |
|
67 |
|
233 |
|
238 |
|
.294 |
Andre Ethier |
1866 |
|
74 |
|
265 |
|
253 |
|
.289 |
Derrek Lee |
1939 |
|
74 |
|
281 |
|
264 |
|
.286 |
Alex Rodriguez |
1724 |
|
95 |
|
328 |
|
256 |
|
.286 |
Adrian Beltre |
1730 |
|
61 |
|
223 |
|
212 |
|
.286 |
Mark Teixeira |
2104 |
|
105 |
|
351 |
|
318 |
|
.285 |
Adrian Gonzalez |
2073 |
|
107 |
|
319 |
|
280 |
|
.285 |
Torii Hunter |
1760 |
|
66 |
|
258 |
|
235 |
|
.285 |
Chase Utley |
1905 |
|
80 |
|
262 |
|
300 |
|
.284 |
Evan Longoria |
1840 |
|
82 |
|
302 |
|
263 |
|
.283 |
Raul Ibanez |
1908 |
|
73 |
|
286 |
|
253 |
|
.281 |
Lance Berkman |
1708 |
|
68 |
|
244 |
|
235 |
|
.281 |
Aubrey Huff |
1926 |
|
73 |
|
279 |
|
255 |
|
.280 |
Prince Fielder |
2127 |
|
112 |
|
326 |
|
283 |
|
.279 |
Jayson Werth |
1810 |
|
87 |
|
251 |
|
277 |
|
.279 |
Matt Kemp |
1992 |
|
72 |
|
266 |
|
272 |
|
0.279 |
Paul Konerko |
1766 |
|
89 |
|
261 |
|
223 |
|
0.279 |
Hunter Pence |
1947 |
|
75 |
|
246 |
|
247 |
|
0.278 |
Aramis Ramirez |
1494 |
|
67 |
|
259 |
|
204 |
|
0.278 |
Vernon Wells |
1796 |
|
66 |
|
232 |
|
226 |
|
0.275 |
Jason Kubel |
1677 |
|
69 |
|
273 |
|
215 |
|
0.274 |
Jason Bay |
1709 |
|
73 |
|
267 |
|
262 |
|
0.273 |
Ryan Ludwick |
1707 |
|
76 |
|
279 |
|
230 |
|
0.273 |
Corey Hart |
1743 |
|
63 |
|
241 |
|
231 |
|
0.271 |
J.D. Drew |
1541 |
|
65 |
|
200 |
|
232 |
|
0.270 |
Analysis: Let’s put our arms around these 39 by slotting them into recognizable types:
Usually Out Performs His Salary: Drew (not sexy).
Post-Injury Bounce Back: Bay, Utley, Morneau.
May Have A Production Bump In Him: Hart, Kubel, Wells, Manny.
Possible Slight Bargain: Ludwick, Fielder, Huff, Berkman, Teixeira, Lee, Vlad, Cabrerra, Holliday.
Probably Over-Priced: Aramis, Konerko, Kemp, Werth, Ibanez, Adrian G., Beltre, A-Rod, Wright, Braun, Cano, Votto, Hanley, Hamilton.
Get What You Pay For: Pence, Longoria, Hunter, Ethier, Tulo, Zimmerman, Youkilis, Pujols.
Projections:
Name |
AVG |
|
R |
|
RBI |
|
HR |
|
SB |
|
AB |
Albert Pujols |
0.318 |
|
110 |
|
114 |
|
39 |
|
10 |
|
571 |
Ryan Braun |
0.293 |
|
105 |
|
108 |
|
35 |
|
16 |
|
624 |
Hanley Ramirez |
0.302 |
|
105 |
|
84 |
|
24 |
|
30 |
|
591 |
Miguel Cabrera |
0.304 |
|
99 |
|
119 |
|
34 |
|
4 |
|
595 |
Joey Votto |
0.297 |
|
97 |
|
109 |
|
32 |
|
11 |
|
581 |
Adrian Gonzalez |
0.306 |
|
103 |
|
105 |
|
33 |
|
1 |
|
583 |
Matt Holliday |
0.304 |
|
95 |
|
99 |
|
25 |
|
13 |
|
585 |
Troy Tulowitzki |
0.291 |
|
96 |
|
103 |
|
26 |
|
12 |
|
561 |
Alex Rodriguez |
0.280 |
|
89 |
|
118 |
|
32 |
|
11 |
|
517 |
David Wright |
0.289 |
|
96 |
|
95 |
|
24 |
|
20 |
|
597 |
Robinson Cano |
0.306 |
|
92 |
|
94 |
|
25 |
|
4 |
|
613 |
Josh Hamilton |
0.306 |
|
86 |
|
102 |
|
26 |
|
9 |
|
541 |
Mark Teixeira |
0.276 |
|
101 |
|
114 |
|
33 |
|
2 |
|
582 |
Jayson Werth |
0.278 |
|
99 |
|
90 |
|
27 |
|
17 |
|
568 |
Evan Longoria |
0.280 |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
28 |
|
11 |
|
601 |
Kevin Youkilis |
0.298 |
|
97 |
|
98 |
|
24 |
|
6 |
|
522 |
Matt Kemp |
0.275 |
|
91 |
|
85 |
|
24 |
|
26 |
|
612 |
Chase Utley |
0.278 |
|
98 |
|
88 |
|
24 |
|
14 |
|
542 |
Prince Fielder |
0.274 |
|
89 |
|
98 |
|
34 |
|
3 |
|
551 |
Adrian Beltre |
0.293 |
|
82 |
|
89 |
|
25 |
|
8 |
|
582 |
Brandon Phillips |
0.268 |
|
95 |
|
84 |
|
21 |
|
20 |
|
635 |
Ryan Zimmerman |
0.286 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
26 |
|
3 |
|
593 |
Hunter Pence |
0.272 |
|
88 |
|
86 |
|
25 |
|
15 |
|
633 |
Justin Morneau |
0.289 |
|
85 |
|
96 |
|
25 |
|
1 |
|
527 |
Andre Ethier |
0.283 |
|
87 |
|
89 |
|
25 |
|
4 |
|
583 |
Torii Hunter |
0.274 |
|
84 |
|
90 |
|
21 |
|
15 |
|
563 |
Vladimir Guerrero |
0.281 |
|
78 |
|
91 |
|
26 |
|
4 |
|
512 |
Corey Hart |
0.271 |
|
81 |
|
82 |
|
22 |
|
13 |
|
540 |
Aramis Ramirez |
0.270 |
|
75 |
|
100 |
|
24 |
|
2 |
|
510 |
Derrek Lee |
0.281 |
|
78 |
|
85 |
|
23 |
|
3 |
|
513 |
Aubrey Huff |
0.267 |
|
85 |
|
89 |
|
20 |
|
4 |
|
576 |
Vernon Wells |
0.265 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
20 |
|
9 |
|
595 |
Jason Bay |
0.248 |
|
83 |
|
85 |
|
24 |
|
10 |
|
522 |
Raul Ibanez |
0.278 |
|
70 |
|
79 |
|
20 |
|
3 |
|
472 |
Jason Kubel |
0.267 |
|
68 |
|
82 |
|
21 |
|
2 |
|
494 |
Ryan Ludwick |
0.253 |
|
73 |
|
85 |
|
23 |
|
3 |
|
532 |
J.D. Drew |
0.265 |
|
77 |
|
70 |
|
20 |
|
4 |
|
456 |
Lance Berkman |
0.262 |
|
71 |
|
74 |
|
18 |
|
7 |
|
464 |
Manny Ramirez |
0.276 |
|
66 |
|
71 |
|
19 |
|
2 |
|
416 |