Carlos Beltran has been on fire in St. Louis this year but expect him to cool off sooner or later.
Analysis: We can start with Carlos Beltran’s health issues. He’s only played in over 90 games in a season just once(2011) in the last three years. Secondly, let’s take a look at his stolen base totals. Beltran has stolen a total of seven bases in 206 games over the past two years but he already has three in just sixteen games this year. All signs point to selling high here, his thirty-four year old legs just are not what they used to be and when he reaches the 300 career stolen base mark…. expect him to stop running. Beltran is also striking out at over a 20% clip this year, something he has never done in his career. Beltran’s HR/FB rate is nearly at 30% in 2012, his career average sits at 15%. So those five home runs he has thus far are indeed inflated just a bit.
The time to sell the aging outfielder is now. The .279 batting average, 5 home runs and 3 stolen bases are great but as the season wears on Beltran he will not be able to sustain his current level of play/luck.