Jeremy Hellickson is worth owning in deeper leagues despite his 5.67 ERA.
Analysis: Over the past few years Jeremy Hellickson has been one lucky pitcher if you go by “ERA minus FIP.” This year is completely the opposite. Hellickson’s ERA minus FIP is 1.48 which is third in baseball. A lot of his unlucky and inflated numbers can be attributed to his strand rate of 60%- 18% below his career average and third worst among qualified starters. When his numbers were low over the past years he made a great sell high option now he’s a perfect buy low candidate.
Hellickson’s 1.26 WHIP is 53rd in baseball this year and ahead of guys like Cole Hamels and Justin Verlander. His walk rate is also 25th best in baseball. His xFIP is a respectable 4.03 and ahead of guys like Dan Haren, Wandy Rodriguez, Matt Moore and Ian Kennedy. He’s not a fantasy baseball savior but he can help your ratios and he isn’t bad in the strikeout department either. He has 66 K’s this year which is 53rd among all pitchers and 26th in the American League.
Hellickson is not as bad as his 5.67 ERA, expect a 4.00 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP going forward.