Selling Alfredo

Alfredo Simon is 4th in the major leagues with a 0.86 ERA and 7th with a 0.81 WHIP.

Analysis: There are plenty of red flags to consider in regards to Alfredo Simon. He does have that 0.86 ERA but he is sporting a 3.91 xFIP this year through three starts. Simon’s career ERA is 3.92, his career xFIP is 4.20. We also have to consider that Simon’s strikeout rate is down this year to a 5.57 K/9 mark. His walk rate is surprisingly low at 1.71 BB/9. So, is he turning into the next Bartolo Colon with his sudden new found command as he ages?

What we do know is that Simon has always been inconsistent. Expect his ERA to shoot up in the coming months as his LOB% starts to come back down to reality. He’s stranding 90.4% of baserunners at the moment which is 11th in baseball this year. His career strand rate is 74.7%.

Currently, Alfredo Simon is available in 50-75% of fantasy leagues. There are plenty of solid, consistent lower tier options available on the wire that are not capable of Alfredo-esque implosions. He has the talent but can he be trusted?

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