Earnest Graham’s rushing total may not be impressive, however, his reception total may surprise you.
Analysis: Earnest Graham has hauled in twenty balls in just three games this year, if that stat doesn’t scream PPR depth then I don’t know what does. Graham may only have thirty yards on the ground this year but twenty receptions for 116 receiving yards will get some attention. Graham’s twenty-two targets tell the whole story with passing down situations considering feature back LeGarrette Blount only has three targets on the year. LeGarrette Blount may have a monopoly on carrying the rock and goal line situations but Earnest Graham is the man with the hands in passing situations. Graham’s 146 total yards and twenty receptions make him hard to ignore in deep PPR leagues and since he’s available in tons of leagues you have to give this guy a look. Tampa is passing the ball 36.3 times per game thus far this season to just 23.7 rushing attempts per game and expect that trend to continue if not bump up just a bit. The Bucs are in between a passing team and a balanced team but we will see more forty passing attempt games with Josh Freeman than thirty carry games with LeGarrette Blount and friends.
During Sunday’s loss to the Lions, LeGarrette Blount only managed to get 5 attempts for 15 yards. Meanwhile Earnest Graham had 6 attempts for 13 yards.
Analysis: Blount was largely ignored on Sunday while they concentrated on the passing attack with Josh Freeman attempting 43 passes. The Lions were winning for most of the game, but there was no reason to give up on the running attack. As far as we know, Blount did not suffer an injury on Sunday. Stay tuned for post game questions as to what happened to the running game. This was clearly a terrible game for Blount owners but don’t expect him to repeat this bad performance next week.
With New York Giant running back Ahmad Bradshaw re-signing it’s time to assess his fantasy value.
Analysis: In mock drafts Bradshaw is coming off the board as the sixteenth running back but it is unlikely he will repeat his 2010 performance. His 2010 season actually was not without flaw. Bradshaw did fumble the ball seven times in 2010 and that is not what you look for in a fantasy running back. But more importantly we must consider that Brandon Jacobs will get more than the 147 carries he received in 2010. If Jacobs wants a new contact/restructured deal from the Giants we’ll see the best of Jacobs in 2011 and that means less of Bradshaw. I’m not saying Bradshaw won’t near 200 carries this year but the 276 carries he amassed last year is out of the question. Last year was Bradshaw’s celing in terms of touches and production and to bank on it again at an ADP of 33 is reckless. Ryan Mathews and LeGarrette Blount are being taken around Bradshaw’s ADP and each offer more upside and little threat in terms of touches. If you factor in the nagging injuries Bradshaw always has- you have an unreliable RB2, but a RB2 nonetheless.