Tag: Roy Halladay

Halladay Solid In Return

Roy Halladay made his first start in over three months Sunday as he returned from a shoulder injury.

Analysis: Halladay pitched 6.0 innings and allowed two earned runs against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He only K’d two batters which is cause for concern considering he was striking out nine batters per nine innings prior to his stint on the disabled list. Overall it was a solid performance but can he be trusted in roto leagues not to blow up your ratios?

Who knows what the rest of the season will hold for Doc Halladay but we do know he is playing for a new contract since the Phillies will not pick up his $20 million 2014 option. It is unclear if Halladay can be trusted considering his velocity is still down and it’s unlikely that he will go deep into games going forward. Perhaps the best move is to use the “wait and see” approach. If you can pick him up and stash him… that isn’t a bad option either.

Halladay is available in 35-80% of fantasy leagues.

Selling High- Jeremy Hellickson

Jeremy Hellickson is sporting a 2.77 ERA and a 4-0 record this year. So, why are we selling him?

Analysis: Jeremy Hellickson’s FIP is 4.78 this year while his ERA sits at 2.77. He actually leads the league in ERA minus FIP this year by quite a large margin. To further his seemingly good stat line is his left on base percentage of 88.1%, which is third in all of baseball. You cannot sustain an 88.1 LOB% over the course of a season. To put it in perspective, Roy Halladay’s career LOB% is 73.6 and it is 71.4% this year. Jeremy Hellickson is a solid pitcher with an excellent changeup, however, a sub 3.5 ERA is not going to happen this year.

It’s time to sell Hellickson as soon as possible. He isn’t a strikeout machine and his numbers will fall back down to earth sooner or later. Even his BABIP against is at .233 which is thirteenth best or luckiest(which ever you prefer) in baseball this year. Again, to put it in perspective, Roy Halladay’s career BABIP against is .292 and .280 this year. All signs point to selling and selling high here.