Draft Impact- Andrew Luck

Rookie quarterbacks who come into the league and have instant success almost always have a solid running game and defense to lean on. In 2011 the Colts finished 26th in total rushing yards and 25th in total defense.

Analysis: Maybe I’m the only one who isn’t on the Andrew Luck bandwagon but I just can’t see it. The Pac-12 is just an awful defensive conference. On top of that, Stanford had an awesome offensive line and a great running game(20th in nation). Take Luck’s three biggest games last year(Oregon, USC, OkSt), he threw four interceptions and only ran for twenty yards on eighteen carries.

Let’s face it, the Colts have tons of issues aside from Jim Irsay’s unparelleled narcissism. Jacob Tamme is now in Denver and there is a reason Peyton didn’t want Dallas Clark and neither do the Colts… he’s a shell of his former self. Donald Brown has yet to run for 700 yards in a season and Delone Carter certainly is not the answer. The defense will not be helping Luck out either, they allowed 26.9 points per game, fifth worst in the NFL. As a result Luck will be throwing tons of second half picks playing catch up. Keep in mind that AFC South rivals the Jags, Texans and Titans all finished in the top eleven in points allowed in 2011(under 21 PPG). Expect one “unlucky” fantasy year for the “next” John Elway.

Week Ten- Streaming Defenses- Jacksonville

The Jags have a week ten matchup with the 0-9 Colts.

Analysis: Jacksonville has only given up sixteen points per game over their last three contests. Considering those games were two road contests with the Steelers and Texans and a stellar performance against the Ravens, the Jags D is coming along nicely. Jacksonville is giving up the fifth fewest total yards in the league and the eighth fewest points per game as well. They are simply an underrated unit.

On the other side of the ball you have an Indy team that has just given up on the year. The Indy offense is only scoring fourteen points per game while ranking twenty-eighth in the NFL in passing yards per game. Although Indy quarterbacks have only thrown six picks on the year, their combined 69.2 passer rating is thirtieth in the NFL. Curtis Painter has thrown for over 100 passing yards just once in his last three games. Painter is only completing 53% of his passes and with tight end Dallas Clark out- it doesn’t look good for this offense.

Jacksonville’s defense is available in just about every fantasy league for the time being, but their week ten matchup will get a lot of attention from fantasy owners.