ADP Watch- QBs

ESPN has Ryan Tannehill ranked as the 22nd best fantasy quarterback this season. Tannehill finished 2013 as the 16th best fantasy quarterback with the worst offensive line in the league. Let me repeat that- Ryan Tannehill was the 16th best QB last year with the worst offensive line in the league.

Analysis: Tannehill has a career 79.1 passer rating through two seasons as a pro. Andrew Luck has a career 81.5 passer rating and has taken 20 less sacks during his two year career. I’m not saying Tannehill is better than Luck but they are closer than a lot of the hype mongers would have you believe.

Johnny Manziel, Eli Manning and Joe Flacco are being taken before Tannehill as a QB2. Tannehill is the 22nd quarterback being taken off the board in the 138-160 pick range. This does not make any sense. Yes, Tannehill does play in a difficult division from a defensive point of view but he is poised to break out this season. The Miami O-line should be mediocre this year which means less sacks, hurries, interceptions, fumbles and of course more accuracy from the pocket. Tannehill ranked 10th last year in rushing yards among quarterbacks- expect even more from Ryan this year as the read-option will find its way into the Miami offensive scheme courtesy of Bill Lazor.

ESPN ranks Tannehill at 22… he finished last season at 16 and improvements have been made to the offensive line(Branden Albert) and he will run more. Thanks ESPN, spot on as always.

Last Call On Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton threw for 372 yards and 3 touchdowns in a victory against the Lions in week seven.

Analysis: Dalton has now thrown for over 700 yards and 6 touchdowns over the last two weeks. Both games were on the road and against respectable defenses(DET/BUF). Dalton has a tough test with the Jets in week eight but he must be considered with the byes coming up.

Luck, Rivers, Flacco have byes and so does Cutler who may be out for a long time. You must also consider that Alex Smith and Ben Roethlisberger have not been reliable lately. At the moment Andy Dalton is available in 20-75% of fantasy leagues. He isn’t the most reliable fantasy quarterback either but he sure beats the alternatives out there on the wire(Palmer, Glennon, Geno Smith, Alex Smith).

Ryan Tannehill’s stock is rising after big games against the Colts and Ravens earlier this year. Although he only threw for 194 yards at home against the Bills this week he did throw 3 touchdowns. Up next for Tannehill and the Dolphins are the Patriots in week eight. Tannehill is available in 50-85% of fantasy leagues.

PPR Help- Hartline

Brian Hartline is flying under the fantasy radar after a 2012 campaign which saw him put up 74 receptions and 1,083 receiving yards.

Analysis: Hartline was targeted a team high 15 times Sunday, five more targets than anyone else on the Dolphins. Hartline caught 9 balls for 114 yards and a score. Considering he is one year removed from 74 receptions and 128 targets(both top 20 for wide outs) he is in high demand right now.

The acquisition of Mike Wallace may deter some fantasy owners from Hartline but he does seem to have good chemistry with second year starter Ryan Tannehill. Currently, Hartline is available in 40-75% of fantasy leagues. His targets and receptions are reliable but the drawback here is the touchdowns. The 6’2″ Hartline only had one touchdown last year, he suffers from what is called “Jason Witten Syndrome.” We must keep in mind that Tannehill only threw for 12 touchdown passes last year and that number is expected to increase in 2013.

The former Ohio State Buckeye can be a bit of a question mark in standard formats but he holds tons of value in PPR leagues.

Streaming Defenses- Week 4

There are a few solid options to stream in week four and of course the obvious choice is the Arizona Cardinals.

Analysis: The Arizona defense is available in two-thirds of fantasy leagues but the defense should be picked up for long term usage. They face Miami in week four who start rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill is sporting a 58.3 passer rating this year with only one passing touchdown on 102 attempts. Arizona’s next four games look like this- vs. Miami/@ St. Louis/vs. Buffalo/@ Minnesota. None of the next four match ups strike fear when it comes to offensive potential. But let’s get away from the obvious choice here and focus on another D to use if the Arizona defense is unavailable.

The Tampa D has been impressive two of the three weeks this season. Even when giving up 41 points in New York to the Giants they still picked off Eli three times. The Tampa D is first against the run in the NFL only giving up 47 yards on the ground per game and a ridiculous 2.3 yards per carry average against. Tampa is also tenth in the NFL in sacks while their week four opponent Washington is seventh in sacks allowed, giving up nine sacks in three games this year.